Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 5.170556 5.617197 6.114703 6.716400 7.433530 8.273227 9.350371
2025-02-02 4.923006 5.579921 6.373680 7.431397 8.852439 10.779847 13.773623
2025-02-09 4.571923 5.348354 6.347329 7.790163 9.952035 13.361638 20.046210
2025-02-16 4.243788 5.090557 6.237336 8.013624 10.963762 16.428380 30.988889
2025-02-23 3.933565 4.811254 6.049368 8.082822 11.789557 19.886640 52.625083
2025-03-02 3.574225 4.420811 5.643754 7.724761 11.751803 21.651270 82.269409
2025-03-09 3.335952 4.176192 5.421960 7.628321 12.211799 25.377521 227.668247
2025-03-16 3.069778 3.866074 5.062199 7.224641 11.890978 26.584463 872.935553
2025-03-23 2.935776 3.738806 4.975026 7.300248 12.716960 33.707202 NaN
2025-03-30 2.790115 3.581038 4.819866 7.217760 13.139444 40.735126 NaN
2025-04-06 2.637772 3.401556 4.610624 6.993163 13.103559 45.713003 NaN
2025-04-13 2.476325 3.198054 4.344328 6.615878 12.512668 45.488337 NaN
2025-04-20 2.425385 3.175096 4.403108 6.971105 14.501879 91.556171 NaN
2025-04-27 2.428209 3.238209 4.623150 7.756873 19.009285 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.375042 3.205679 4.666917 8.160630 22.931093 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.308360 3.145030 4.650350 8.416192 26.947875 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.230976 3.060158 4.576588 8.501241 30.432747 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 2.119672 2.909603 4.356812 8.116342 29.438660 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 2.042219 2.813621 4.239655 8.015754 31.185683 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.943006 2.674447 4.023540 7.578561 28.949798 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.894321 2.621395 3.980140 7.663446 32.734371 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 1.835807 2.547650 3.887302 7.575278 34.584392 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 1.769741 2.457360 3.753245 7.331840 33.943837 NaN NaN